A tutorial on tidy cross-validation with R
Analyzing NetHack data, part 1: What kills the players
Analyzing NetHack data, part 2: What players kill the most
Building a shiny app to explore historical newspapers: a step-by-step guide
Classification of historical newspapers content: a tutorial combining R, bash and Vowpal Wabbit, part 1
Classification of historical newspapers content: a tutorial combining R, bash and Vowpal Wabbit, part 2
Curly-Curly, the successor of Bang-Bang
Dealing with heteroskedasticity; regression with robust standard errors using R
Easy time-series prediction with R: a tutorial with air traffic data from Lux Airport
Exporting editable plots from R to Powerpoint: making ggplot2 purrr with officer
Fast food, causality and R packages, part 1
Fast food, causality and R packages, part 2
For posterity: install {xml2} on GNU/Linux distros
Forecasting my weight with R
From webscraping data to releasing it as an R package to share with the world: a full tutorial with data from NetHack
Get text from pdfs or images using OCR: a tutorial with {tesseract} and {magick}
Getting data from pdfs using the pdftools package
Getting the data from the Luxembourguish elections out of Excel
Going from a human readable Excel file to a machine-readable csv with {tidyxl}
Historical newspaper scraping with {tesseract} and R
How Luxembourguish residents spend their time: a small {flexdashboard} demo using the Time use survey data
Imputing missing values in parallel using {furrr}
Intermittent demand, Croston and Die Hard
Looking into 19th century ads from a Luxembourguish newspaper with R
Making sense of the METS and ALTO XML standards
Manipulate dates easily with {lubridate}
Manipulating strings with the {stringr} package
Maps with pie charts on top of each administrative division: an example with Luxembourg's elections data
Missing data imputation and instrumental variables regression: the tidy approach
Modern R with the tidyverse is available on Leanpub
Objects types and some useful R functions for beginners
Pivoting data frames just got easier thanks to `pivot_wide()` and `pivot_long()`
R or Python? Why not both? Using Anaconda Python within R with {reticulate}
Searching for the optimal hyper-parameters of an ARIMA model in parallel: the tidy gridsearch approach
Some fun with {gganimate}
Statistical matching, or when one single data source is not enough
The best way to visit Luxembourguish castles is doing data science + combinatorial optimization
The never-ending editor war (?)
The year of the GNU+Linux desktop is upon us: using user ratings of Steam Play compatibility to play around with regex and the tidyverse
Using Data Science to read 10 years of Luxembourguish newspapers from the 19th century
Using a genetic algorithm for the hyperparameter optimization of a SARIMA model
Using cosine similarity to find matching documents: a tutorial using Seneca's letters to his friend Lucilius
Using linear models with binary dependent variables, a simulation study
Using the tidyverse for more than data manipulation: estimating pi with Monte Carlo methods
What hyper-parameters are, and what to do with them; an illustration with ridge regression
{disk.frame} is epic
{pmice}, an experimental package for missing data imputation in parallel using {mice} and {furrr}
Building formulae
Functional peace of mind
Get basic summary statistics for all the variables in a data frame
Getting {sparklyr}, {h2o}, {rsparkling} to work together and some fun with bash
Importing 30GB of data into R with sparklyr
Introducing brotools
It's lists all the way down
It's lists all the way down, part 2: We need to go deeper
Keep trying that api call with purrr::possibly()
Lesser known dplyr 0.7* tricks
Lesser known dplyr tricks
Lesser known purrr tricks
Make ggplot2 purrr
Mapping a list of functions to a list of datasets with a list of columns as arguments
Predicting job search by training a random forest on an unbalanced dataset
Teaching the tidyverse to beginners
Why I find tidyeval useful
tidyr::spread() and dplyr::rename_at() in action
Easy peasy STATA-like marginal effects with R
Functional programming and unit testing for data munging with R available on Leanpub
How to use jailbreakr
My free book has a cover!
Work on lists of datasets instead of individual datasets by using functional programming
Method of Simulated Moments with R
New website!
Nonlinear Gmm with R - Example with a logistic regression
Simulated Maximum Likelihood with R
Bootstrapping standard errors for difference-in-differences estimation with R
Careful with tryCatch
Data frame columns as arguments to dplyr functions
Export R output to a file
I've started writing a 'book': Functional programming and unit testing for data munging with R
Introduction to programming econometrics with R
Merge a list of datasets together
Object Oriented Programming with R: An example with a Cournot duopoly
R, R with Atlas, R with OpenBLAS and Revolution R Open: which is fastest?
Read a lot of datasets at once with R
Unit testing with R
Update to Introduction to programming econometrics with R
Using R as a Computer Algebra System with Ryacas

Model interpretation is essential in the social sciences. If one wants to know the effect of
variable `x`

on the dependent variable `y`

, marginal effects are an easy way to get the answer.
STATA includes a `margins`

command that has been ported to R
by Thomas J. Leeper
of the London School of Economics and Political Science.
You can find the source code of the package
on github. In this short blog post, I demo some of the
functionality of `margins`

.

First, let’s load some packages:

```
library(ggplot2)
library(tibble)
library(broom)
library(margins)
library(Ecdat)
```

As an example, we are going to use the `Participation`

data from the `Ecdat`

package:

`data(Participation)`

`?Participation`

```
Labor Force Participation
Description
a cross-section
number of observations : 872
observation : individuals
country : Switzerland
Usage
data(Participation)
Format
A dataframe containing :
lfp
labour force participation ?
lnnlinc
the log of nonlabour income
age
age in years divided by 10
educ
years of formal education
nyc
the number of young children (younger than 7)
noc
number of older children
foreign
foreigner ?
Source
Gerfin, Michael (1996) “Parametric and semiparametric estimation of the binary response”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11(3), 321-340.
References
Davidson, R. and James G. MacKinnon (2004) Econometric Theory and Methods, New York, Oxford University Press, http://www.econ.queensu.ca/ETM/, chapter 11.
Journal of Applied Econometrics data archive : http://qed.econ.queensu.ca/jae/.
```

The variable of interest is `lfp`

: whether the individual participates in the labour force or not.
To know which variables are relevant in the decision to participate in the labour force,
one could estimate a logit model, using `glm()`

.

`logit_participation = glm(lfp ~ ., data = Participation, family = "binomial")`

Now that we ran the regression, we can take a look at the results. I like to use `broom::tidy()`

to look at the results of regressions, as `tidy()`

returns a nice
`data.frame`

, but you could use `summary()`

if you’re only interested in reading the output:

`tidy(logit_participation)`

```
## term estimate std.error statistic p.value
## 1 (Intercept) 10.37434616 2.16685216 4.7877499 1.686617e-06
## 2 lnnlinc -0.81504064 0.20550116 -3.9661122 7.305449e-05
## 3 age -0.51032975 0.09051783 -5.6378920 1.721444e-08
## 4 educ 0.03172803 0.02903580 1.0927211 2.745163e-01
## 5 nyc -1.33072362 0.18017027 -7.3859224 1.514000e-13
## 6 noc -0.02198573 0.07376636 -0.2980454 7.656685e-01
## 7 foreignyes 1.31040497 0.19975784 6.5599678 5.381941e-11
```

From the results above, one can only interpret the sign of the coefficients. To know how much a
variable influences the labour force participation, one has to use `margins()`

:

```
effects_logit_participation = margins(logit_participation)
print(effects_logit_participation)
```

`## Average marginal effects`

`## glm(formula = lfp ~ ., family = "binomial", data = Participation)`

```
## lnnlinc age educ nyc noc foreignyes
## -0.1699 -0.1064 0.006616 -0.2775 -0.004584 0.2834
```

Using `summary()`

on the object returned by `margins()`

provides more details:

`summary(effects_logit_participation)`

```
## factor AME SE z p lower upper
## age -0.1064 0.0176 -6.0494 0.0000 -0.1409 -0.0719
## educ 0.0066 0.0060 1.0955 0.2733 -0.0052 0.0185
## foreignyes 0.2834 0.0399 7.1102 0.0000 0.2053 0.3615
## lnnlinc -0.1699 0.0415 -4.0994 0.0000 -0.2512 -0.0887
## noc -0.0046 0.0154 -0.2981 0.7656 -0.0347 0.0256
## nyc -0.2775 0.0333 -8.3433 0.0000 -0.3426 -0.2123
```

And it is also possible to plot the effects with base graphics:

`plot(effects_logit_participation)`

This uses the basic R plotting capabilities, which is useful because it is a simple call to the
function `plot()`

but if you’ve been using `ggplot2`

and want this graph to have the same look as
the others made with `ggplot2`

you first need to save the summary in a variable.
Let’s overwrite this `effects_logit_participation`

variable with its summary:

`effects_logit_participation = summary(effects_logit_participation)`

And now it is possible to use `ggplot2`

to create the same plot:

```
ggplot(data = effects_logit_participation) +
geom_point(aes(factor, AME)) +
geom_errorbar(aes(x = factor, ymin = lower, ymax = upper)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
theme_minimal() +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45))
```

So an infinitesimal increase, in say, non-labour income (`lnnlinc`

) of 0.001 is associated with a
decrease of the probability of labour force participation by 0.001*17 percentage points.

You can also extract the marginal effects of a single variable, with `dydx()`

:

`head(dydx(Participation, logit_participation, "lnnlinc"))`

```
## dydx_lnnlinc
## 1 -0.15667764
## 2 -0.20014487
## 3 -0.18495109
## 4 -0.05377262
## 5 -0.18710476
## 6 -0.19586986
```

Which makes it possible to extract the effects for a list of individuals that you can create yourself:

```
my_subjects = tribble(
~lfp, ~lnnlinc, ~age, ~educ, ~nyc, ~noc, ~foreign,
"yes", 10.780, 7.0, 4, 1, 1, "yes",
"no", 1.30, 9.0, 1, 4, 1, "yes"
)
dydx(my_subjects, logit_participation, "lnnlinc")
```

```
## dydx_lnnlinc
## 1 -0.09228119
## 2 -0.17953451
```

I used the `tribble()`

function from the `tibble`

package to create this test data set, row by
row. Then, using `dydx()`

, I get the marginal effect of variable `lnnlinc`

for these two individuals.
No doubt that this package will be a huge help convincing more social scientists to try out R and
make a potential transition from STATA easier.